Sports bets is often very profitable if a person know the secrets often the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that smart money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a ideal example. My partner and i analyzed this Rest of the world California vs. Louisville match, and concluded the fact that West Florida had this edge in the sport. Nevertheless , We also realized that there were a lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not gamble on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Virginia vs . Louisville

This sport features all the indicators of being one connected with the greatest games regarding the year, using the two teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, with Western world Virginia coming backside from appearing down big in the independence day 1 / 4 to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the game appearance like this year?

If this match were appearing played with a basic field, West Las vegas would likely probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented spin. That they haven’t lost due to the fact March. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they missing to Va Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 ROAD games.

All these are some very remarkable stats that tilt typically the scales in favor regarding WVU for tonight’s gaming. Plus, this added in added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. ufabet168.info/%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A3%E0%B9%88%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%99%E0%B9%84%E0%B8%A5%E0%B8%99%E0%B9%8C may not appear like quite a bit, but in a close match-up such as this, that excess point could make the big difference between the push in addition to a loss.

But you may be wondering what about Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers may be almost as good like WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their final 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS into their final 10 home games.

And if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at home since 12 18, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for each game in the home, while hitting only letting go of 15. 6 points per game at home. In case you didn’t do the math concepts, that means given that their own last home damage they have already averaged beating their competitors by about thirty four points per game.

Even greater impressive, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten this divide, on average, by way of 13 points per game at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Nearly all of those stats were being built up during the 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They are yet to acquired recent games by which they are yet to only scored twenty eight, 3, 24 points. And the game titles weren’t against Kentkucky Street. or Michigan. They will were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

In essence that this is still a new close match to call up. Although the things i look for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s no factor to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to mid 20’s. My honest recommendation is to lay off this particular game and not necessarily guess at all. There are usually better games this saturday and sunday with more simple strengths.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to return a good punt for a good TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s border has not been so big that they can could very well still win right after making so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this particular game, people really serious regarding sports betting saved money they will can put to better make use of on coming games.