Sports bets are often very profitable if an individual know the secrets the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make dollars. The most significant secrets that clever money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a perfect example. My spouse and i analyzed this West Virginia vs. Louisville match, and concluded the fact that West Las vegas had the particular edge in the video game. However , My partner and i also understood that there was a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not bet on this particular game. Here is sports handicappers released in advance of the game:
West Virginia or Louisville
This sport provides all the indicators of being one involving the best games involving the year, using each teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, along with Rest of the world Virginia coming back from being down huge in the independence day one fourth to winning in overtime, however,.
So what’s the overall game look like this year?
If this activity were appearing played with a new neutral field, West Las vegas would likely probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented throw. These people haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they shed to California Tech. In the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 HIGHWAY games.
These kind of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt typically the scales in favor regarding WVU regarding tonight’s gaming. Plus, this included bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This can not look like quite a bit, but in a close match-up similar to this, that extra point can make the distinction between a push plus a loss.
But what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s figures are usually almost as good because WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own past 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home game titles.
Plus if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at your home since January 16, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points per game in your own home, while hitting only letting go of 15. seven points every game at home. In case a person decided not to do the figures, that means considering their own last home decline they have already averaged beating their oppositions by about 34 factors per game.
What’s more impressive, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the particular pass on, on average, by means of 13 factors per video game at home considering that 2003.
Wow… how can anyone go against that?
Here’s the way…
Nearly all of those stats had been accumulated during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They have already acquired recent games through which they have already only scored twenty-eight, 23, 24 points. That games weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. These people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.
The end result is of which this is still a close game to phone. Nevertheless what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s security to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no factor to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to core 20’s. My honest recommendation is definitely to lay off this specific game and not wager at all. There are better games this quick with more simple advantages.
The final score of the game was Louisville forty-four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to return some sort of punt for a TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s fringe had not been so big that they can may still win soon after building so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this video game, people serious about sports betting saved money that they can offer better apply on upcoming games.