Sports bets can be quite profitable if a person know the secrets and techniques the particular “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that clever money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a ideal case in point. I analyzed often the Western world Florida vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that West Florida had the edge in the activity. Nonetheless We also noticed that there were a whole lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not wager on that game. Here is my personal analysis I released prior to the game:
West Florida versus Louisville
This online game possesses all the symptoms of being one involving the very best games associated with the year, together with equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, with Western Virginia coming again from appearing down large in the independence day quarter to winning inside overtime.
So what’s the adventure look like this year?
In the event that this video game were appearing played on a natural field, West California would likely probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since typically the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented rotate. That they haven’t lost considering that Jan. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. Inside the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 STREET games.
These kind of are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor associated with WVU to get tonight’s games. Plus, this additional bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This will likely not appear like substantially, but in a close match-up such as this, that extra point will certainly make the big difference between a new push together with a loss.
But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics are generally almost as good since WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In his or her previous 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home game titles.
And even if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at home since 12 , 16, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. four points each game at home, while averaging only letting go of 15. six points for each game with home. In case a person decided not to do the math concepts, that means due to the fact their last home loss they already have averaged beating their very own competitors by about thirty four things per game.
In addition extraordinary, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the particular divide, on average, simply by 13 points per video game at home given that 2003.
Wow… how can an individual go against that?
www.ufabet168.bet/%e0%b9%80%e0%b8%a7%e0%b9%87%e0%b8%9a%e0%b9%81%e0%b8%97%e0%b8%87%e0%b8%9a%e0%b8%ad%e0%b8%a5 of those stats have been developed during the june 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They have already acquired recent games that has they already have only scored 28, twenty-three, 24 points. That activities weren’t against Kentkucky Stycken. or Michigan. They will were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.
The bottom line is that will this is still some sort of close activity to contact. Yet the things i look to get is West Virginia’s defense to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no factor to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to the middle of 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is usually to lay off that game and certainly not wager at all. There are usually better activities this weekend with more clear-cut advantages.
The final score on this game was Louisville forty four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to go back a new punt for a new TD. The results was that West Virginia’s fringe was not so big that they can still win following making so many mistakes. By not betting on this particular sport, people severe regarding sports betting saved money many people can offer better employ on upcoming games.